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Understanding Earthquakes:

From Research to Resilience

April 22-26, 2008

Westin Hotel, Seattle

FINAL CONFERENCE AGENDA

with PDF Presentations

Files 10 MB or larger are noted

 

 MISSION STATEMENT: The purpose of the conference is to provide a national forum for dialogue among emergency managers, earthquake researchers, government officials, and business leaders that build common ground to mitigate losses from earthquakes and increase social and economic resiliency.

Monday, April 21, 2008     Pre-Conference  

3:00 PM – 4:30 PM

WSSPC Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Committee Meeting

5:00 PM – 6:00 PM

WSSPC Board Meeting

 

 

Tuesday, April 22, 2008    Pre-Conference  

8:00 AM – 5:00 PM

State Earthquake Program Managers Meeting

 

10:00 AM – 3:00 PM

CREW Meeting

1:00 PM – 5:00 PM

State Seismic Councils and Commissions Meeting  

 

7:00 PM – 9:00 PM

 

WSSPC Annual Business Meeting

 Tuesday, April 22, 2008    Conference 

 

4:00 PM – 7:00 PM

Registration

Exhibits

 

5:30 PM – 7:00 PM

 

 

Hosted Hospitality Mixer

 Wednesday, April 23, 2008         Learning from the past 

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM

Registration

Exhibits

7:00 AM

Breakfast Meetings (Continental Breakfast Provided in Exhibit Hall)

  

8:00 AM

Welcome

Speakers:  Bob Zimmerman, Conference Chair and President, Cascadia Region Earthquake Workgroup

Christine Gregoire (video), Governor, State of Washington

Jim Mullen, Director, Washington Military Department, Emergency Management Division

Susan Reinertson, Director, FEMA Region X

From Research to Resilience -- A short film highlighting the conference theme

Produced by Global Net Productions

  

8:30 AM

PLENARY 1:  TOWARD RESILIENCY:  WHAT WE’VE LEARNED FROM PAST EVENTS

This opening session will set the stage for the conference by focusing on what we have learned from past events and putting a face on resiliency.  Dennis Mileti will introduce the concept of resiliency, Lawrence Vale will offer examples from around the world and Anselm Smolka will present resiliency lessons learned from Hurricane Katrina.

Moderator:  Bob Zimmerman, Conference Chair and President, Cascadia Region Earthquake Workgroup

Speakers:  Dennis Mileti, Professor Emeritus, Department of Sociology, University of Colorado Boulder

Lawrence Vale, Professor and Head, Department of Urban Studies and Planning, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 

(10 MB)

 

10:00 AM

Break -- 30 minutes

 

10:30 AM

PLENARY 2:  NEHRP STRATEGIES AND CHALLENGES

The NEHRP Strategic Plan has been updated and NIST has settled in as the lead agency with a designated NEHRP Director.  What changes have resulted from new leadership?  What are the recent program accomplishments?  What are the challenges continuing to face the NEHRP program?  A panel consisting of representatives from each of the NEHRP agencies – NIST, FEMA, USGS, and NSF – will discuss their strategies for meeting their goals, coordinating with their agency counterparts, and responding to the Advisory Committee on Earthquake Hazards Reduction (ACEHR).

Moderator:  Chris Poland, CEO, Degenkolb Engineers

Speakers:  David Applegate, Senior Science Advisor for Earthquake and Geologic Hazards, US Geological Survey (10 MB)

Ed Laatsch, Chief, Building Sciences Section, Mitigation Division, DHS/FEMA

Dennis Wenger, Program Director, National Science Foundation

Jack Hayes, Director, National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) at the National Institute of Standards and Technology

 

12:00 PM

Lunch

Luncheon Speaker:  Mark Myers,  Director, US Geological Survey (15 MB)

 

1:30 PM

PLENARY 3:  SCIENTIFIC AND ENGINEERING LESSONS FROM PAST EARTHQUAKES

Earthquakes are our best teachers, providing us with the observations that advance our understanding - usually incrementally, but occasionally in enormous leaps.  In this session we learn about the major surprises and lessons nature has presented to us, during and following significant earthquakes, that have led to major advances in our understanding of earthquake science and engineering.

Moderator:  David Applegate, Senior Science Advisor for Earthquake and Geologic Hazards, US Geological Survey

Speakers:  Hiroo Kanamori, John E. and Hazel S. Smits Professor of Geophysics, Emeritus, at the California Institute of Technology

Chris Poland, CEO, Degenkolb Engineers 

 

2:45 PM

Break -- 45 minutes

Poster Session

3:30 PM

 

Concurrent Workshops: 

Session A

Critical Infrastructure.  Critical Infrastructure is an integral component of communities large and small.  A community’s dependence on their critical infrastructure goes largely unnoticed until it is disrupted.  This session will explore a number of critical infrastructure issues highlighting the dependence and vulnerability of these complex systems.

Moderator:  Don Ballantyne, Senior Consultant, MMI Engineering

Speakers:  Daniel V. Munger, Infrastructure Branch Chief, Mississippi Emergency Management Agency

Ron Tognazzini, Consultant and Former Emergency  Manager of Los Angeles Department of Water and Power

Tim Ceis, Deputy Mayor, City of Seattle 

 

Session B

Impact of Earthquakes on Rural Communities

The vulnerability of rural communities often goes unnoticed, due largely to the perception that there isn’t a significant risk.  The argument to place resources in larger, more urban communities rests on the perception that smaller populations are less at risk and have less infrastructure exposure to hazards.  In reality, rural communities collectively represent a large percentage of the nation’s population, while serving as the backbone of this nation.  The vulnerability of these communities on a day-to-day basis is much greater than it is with larger communities.  This session will explore those vulnerabilities and look at the role of mitigation in helping reduce these vulnerabilities.

Moderator:  Craig dePolo, Research Geologist, Nevada Bureau of Mines & Geology

Speakers:  Kelly C. Donoghue, Assistant Director, Clinton County (New York) Office of Emergency Services (47 MB)

Rex Nelson, Alternate Federal Co-Chairman, Delta Regional Authority

David Jackson, Mitigation Program Manager, Idaho Bureau of Homeland Security 

 

 

Session C

Spreading the Risk:  The Role of Earthquake Insurance in Economic Recovery

Insurance dollars are a major contributor to economic recovery following a natural disaster.  This session will clarify what homeowners and business owners can expect from their earthquake insurance, what is included and excluded, and why.  It will address what the challenges are to making earthquake insurance available and affordable, what motivates or deters homeowners and business owners from purchasing that insurance, and what is being done to improve market penetration.

Moderator:  Paula Flowers, Senior Laboratory Risk Advisor, UT-Battelle, LLC, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and former Commissioner, Department of Commerce and Insurance, State of Tennessee

Speakers:  William R. Lacy, Director, Property & Casualty Division, Arkansas Insurance Department

Karl Newman, President, NW Insurance Council 

 

 

Session D

Business Continuity Lessons Learned from Past Events:  Hurricane Katrina,

Kobe, Japan Earthquake and Research Findings

What has made the difference between business survival and failure following a disaster?  This session will include experiences of businesses affected by Hurricane Katrina and the Kobe, Japan earthquake, and research findings from major disasters across the country.  It will explore how business continuity planning, involvement with disaster-resistant and resilient community initiates, and the ability to adapt to a changed environment affect businesses’ ability to survive, remain viable, and ultimately recover from a major disaster.

Moderator:  Diana McClure, Vice President and Director of Business Protection, Institute for Business and Home Safety

Speakers:  Dana Eness, Coordinator, The Urban Conservancy’s Stay Local! Program

Tsutomu Shigemura, Professor, Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Kobe University

Dan Alesch, Emeritus Professor, University of Wisconsin 

 

 

 

Session E

Land Use Planning, Policy and Earthquakes 101

This session will help demystify the world of land use planning, policy and zoning as a tool for reducing loss of life and property from seismic events, highlighting the challenges and opportunities from academic and practitioners’ perspectives.

Moderator:  Rob Olshansky, Professor, Department of Urban & Regional Planning, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

Speakers:  Jane Preuss, Principal Planner, Planwest Partners

Susan Chang, Technical Geotechnical Engineering Group Supervisor, Seattle Department of Planning and Development

Thomas A. Birkland, William Kretzer Professor, School of Public and International Affairs, North Carolina State University

Kenneth Topping, President, Topping Associates International, and Former Planning Director, City of Los Angeles

 

 

Session F

Scientific and Engineering Lessons from Past Earthquakes

This series of talks builds on plenary session 1, examining specific earthquakes and the lessons learned from them.  We focus on both the scientific and engineering aspects of past earthquakes and related phenomena, and touch upon today’s research and where it is heading.

Moderator:  Stacy Bartoletti, Vice President & COO, Degenkolb Engineers

Speakers:  Shri Krishna Singh, Departamento de Sismologia y Vulcanologia, Instituto de Geofisica, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico

Garry Rogers, Earthquake Seismologist, Geological Survey of Canada

Jim Malley, Senior Principal, Degenkolb Engineers 

 

5:00 PM

Close

6:30 - 9:30 PM

Fee Event (Optional) - Boat Cruise to Blake Island.  As participants, you will be driven from the conference center to Seattle’s waterfront, board a large boat and cruise over the Seattle fault to Blake Island State Park.  There you will dine in an authentic cedar longhouse while the Tillicum Village Dancers present traditional Northwest Coast dances.  (Cost $100, guests are welcome).

     

 Thursday, April 24, 2008 (Dealing with the Present)
 

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM

Registration

Exhibits

7:00 AM

Breakfast Meetings (Continental Breakfast Provided in Exhibit Hall )

WSSPC Basin & Range Province Committee Meeting 

8:00 AM

Welcome

Speakers:  Patti Sutch, Executive Director, Western States Seismic Policy Council

Greg Nickels,  Mayor, City of Seattle

Timothy J. Lowenberg, Adjutant General, Washington Military Department

 

8:30 AM

PLENARY 4:  EARTHQUAKE HAZARDS IN THE U.S.

Earthquakes are a national problem, posing a significant risk to 75 million Americans in 39 states from Alaska to Maine.  Planning for and responding to the risk requires understanding why, when, and where past earthquakes have occurred, the engineering issues they raise, and the processes that may govern future occurrences.  The plenary focuses on understanding earthquake hazards nationwide, providing overviews of the geologic settings and processes and of the built environment they will affect.

Moderator:  Jill McCarthy, Chief Scientist, Geologic Hazards Team, US Geological Survey

Speakers:  Mary Lou Zoback, Vice President of Earthquake Risk Applications, Risk Management Solutions (13 MB)
                     Movies  -     SanAndreasN     SF 1906    

Jack Moehle, Director, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center (PEER) (10 MB)

 

10:00 AM

Break -- 30 minutes

10:30 AM

PLENARY 5:  NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE RISK - IMPACTS AND VULNERABILITIES

Although most earthquakes are concentrated along the west coast of the United States, the earthquake risk in the U.S. (as measured by FEMA’s Annualized Earthquake Loss Ratios comparing annualized earthquake loss to the national building stock) is a real threat in nearly every state.  An earthquake occurring in the Midwest or Northeastern U.S., although it may occur less frequently than a west coast earthquake, could have similar devastating effects on the economy.  This plenary focuses on conveying the national earthquake risk, social and economic impacts, and vulnerabilities.

Moderator:  Ron T. Eguchi, President and CEO, ImageCat, Inc.

Speakers:  Philip Schneider, Director, Hazards Risk Assessment Program, National Institute of Building Sciences

Susan Cutter, Carolina Distinguished Professor, Department of Geography & Director, Hazards & Vulnerability Research Institute, University of South Carolina

Keith A. Porter, Associate Professor, Civil Engineering Department, University of Colorado Boulder  

 

12:00 PM

Lunch:  National Awards in Excellence

Presenter:  Jack Hayes, Director, National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) at the National Institute of Standards and Technology 

Luncheon Speaker:  Jim Stanton, Director, Communications, British Columbia Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games Secretariat

“Disaster-Resilient Businesses Within Disaster-Resilient Communities:  A Case Study of EPICC”

Are businesses and industries in your community prepared and ready to cope with a disaster?  Surviving the “Big One” is just as important for businesses as it is for communities.  Emergency Preparedness for Industry and Commerce Council of British Columbia (EPICC) is a nonprofit government-endorsed society supported by, and for the benefit of, businesses and institutions throughout British Columbia to influence and help businesses prepare for emergencies and disasters.  By forming partnerships with businesses, governments, and organizations such as the Cascadia Region Earthquake Workgroup and the Vancouver Board of Trade, EPICC strives to educate and motivate businesses and communities to endorse the principles of business continuity and emergency planning.

 

1:30 PM

PLENARY 6:  EARTHQUAKE RISK MANAGEMENT FROM A FINANCIAL ACCOUNTABILITY VIEWPOINT

There are many ways to manage financial risks created by earthquakes -- redundancy, hardening, insurance, take a chance and do nothing, or some combination of these.  A panel of speakers will represent a financial accountability viewpoint from a variety of business types, and share how they currently manage their earthquake risk.

Moderator:  Ines Pearce, Chief Executive, Pearce Global Partners

Speakers:  Jill Combs, Vice President & Assistant Risk Manager, Wells Fargo Bank

Joel Gaither, Property Insurance and Fire Protection Manager, Weyerhaeuser Co.

Rebecca McQuade, Director of Risk Management, Paccar Inc.

 

3:00 PM

Break -- 45 minutes

Poster Session

3:30 PM

Concurrent Workshops:

 Session A

Tools of the Trade:  ShakeMap, ShakeCast, PAGER, ENS, HAZUS, GIS, Scenarios, AGORA

Over the past two decades, a number of technologies have emerged that have greatly benefited earthquake response and hazard mitigation.  Some of these tools are available to emergency managers in near real-time and provide critical information including earthquake magnitude, location, distribution of ground shaking and probable damage.  Others provide estimates of dollar loss, casualties, displaced population, damage to critical facilities and other parameters for hazard mitigation, scenario development, and recovery.  This session will feature both designers of these tools and their users.

Moderator:  Jim Goltz, Earthquake and Tsunami Program Manager, California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services

Speakers:  Rich Eisner, Government Liaison, BayPrep, Fritz Institute

Doug Bausch, Physical Scientist, DHS/FEMA Region VIII

Dave Wald, Seismologist, US Geological Survey

Keith A. Porter, Associate Professor, Civil Engineering Department, University of Colorado Boulder
 

 

Session B

Building Earthquake Science and Engineering into Codes and Policies

This breakout session will explore how the National Seismic Hazards Maps produced by the U.S. Geological Survey are used and integrated into the building codes, the differences between probabilistic and scenario hazard assessments and the impacts the codes have from a state perspective.

Moderator:  Mike Mahoney, Senior Geophysicist, Building Sciences Section, Mitigation Division, DHS/FEMA

                         (1) Introduction                      (2) Development of Seismic Hazard Maps for NEHRP Provisions

 

Speakers:  Mark Petersen, Seismologist, US Geological Survey

Alan Carr, Senior Staff Engineer, International Code Council

Paula Flowers, Attorney, Farmer & Luna, PLLC, and former Commissioner, Department of Commerce and Insurance, State of Tennessee

 

 

Session C

Temporary Populations:  Evacuation, Planning, Problems and Procedures

This session will examine the role of emergency management when dealing with transient populations and large scale special events such as the Olympics.  The session will begin with how earthquakes affect the tourism industry, why tourists are “different” from a sociological perspective, and some of the best practices for dealing with this population.  The following presentations will focus on large scale events and key points will include preparing for “worst-case” scenarios, the importance of developing strong leadership skills, and the need for excellent communications skills.  The Salt Lake City Winter Olympics and upcoming 2010 Olympics will serve as a backdrop for discussions of the lessons learned and planning initiatives in the Vancouver area.

Moderator:  Larry Pearce, Partner, Pearces 2 Consulting Corporation

Speakers:  Mike Stever, Emergency Program Manager, Salt Lake City Office of Emergency Preparedness

Kevin Wallinger, Director, Integrated Public Safety Unit, Provincial Emergency Program, Government of British Columbia

Nicole Dash, Assistant Professor, Department of Sociology, University of North Texas

 

 

Session D

Addressing Tsunami Risk

Emergency managers ask for increasing levels of certainty from different scientific fields to best determine tsunami hazard areas, the level of exposure to the public, and the most effective means to detect and warn for a potential tsunami.  This session will connect state-of-the-art hazard assessment, vulnerability analysis, and warning methodology to improve public education and emergency decision-making.

Moderator:  Jay Wilson, Hazard Mitigation Coordinator, Clackamas County Emergency Management

Speakers:  George Priest, Geologist, Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries, Coastal Field Office

Nathan Wood, Geographer, US Geological Survey

Vasily Titov, Chief Scientist, NOAA Center for Tsunami Research, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (14 MB)

Movies (Requires QuickTime®)

      Chris_Sumatra2004-3     Chris_Sumatra2004-4     EastAtlanticAnimB-3      hilo_plain    
    kuril_HI4sims                kuril_HI4sims-2             Seaside1_2-3                Seaside1_2-4

 

 

 

Session E

Communicating Risk and Risk Reduction

Communicating risk and vulnerabilities is not easy.  This session will focus on the communication from two different but interrelated perspectives.  The first part will focus on strategies and tools for understanding and communicating vulnerabilities related to critical infrastructures and interdependencies to different audiences.  The second part will examine how risk and vulnerability factors can be used to engage and encourage community initiatives to reduce the likelihood of hazardous events and their adverse impacts.

Moderator:  Jeannette Sutton, Natural Hazards Center, University of Colorado Boulder

Speakers:  Laurie Pearce, Associate Faculty, Royal Roads University

Stephanie E. Chang, Associate Professor, Community and Regional Planning, The University of British Columbia
 

 

Session F

Turning Mitigation into an Economic Advantage

Mitigation is a choice for businesses, but those who have seen the value to protect their employees, property, and customers before disaster strikes are also seeing the economic advantage it provides.  This could take the form of a better prepared workforce, employee or customer loyalty, reduction in post-disaster costs, and better resiliency.  Every company customizes its solutions and choices to fit their specific business priorities and culture for long-term gains.

Moderator:  Ines Pearce, Chief Executive, Pearce Global Partners

Speakers:  Jennie Clinton, Senior Program Manager, Enterprise Business Continuity, Microsoft

Krista Dillon, Associate Director, Oregon Partnership for Disaster Resilience, University of Oregon

Annie Searle, Senior Vice President, Enterprise Risk Services, Washington Mutual

 

5:00 PM

Close

7:00 PM

LEARNING FROM THE DECEMBER 2004 TSUNAMI WEBCAST 

A panel of practitioners from impacted countries will discuss the steps taken toward recovery and making their countries more resilient.  This plenary session will permit representatives from impacted countries to participate remotely.  Questions will be received from Seattle based and virtual participants and translators will be available.  The session is being held in the evening to allow for participation across the Indian Ocean and will be open to the general public.

Moderators:  George Crawford, Earthquake Program Manager, Washington Military Department, Emergency Management Division

Brian Atwater, U.S. Geological Survey and University of Washington

Chris Jonientz-Trisler, Chief, Hazards Mitigation Assistance Branch, DHS/FEMA Region X

Speakers: 

Ms. Patra Rina Dewi, Executive Director, KOGAMI  (NGO), West Sumatra, Indonesia (16 MB)

Dr. Ananda Mallawatantri, U.N. Development Program, Sri Lanka 

Tsunami Session Webcast Sponsored by Federal Signal     
 

Friday, April 25, 2008 (Future Directions)
 

7:00 AM – 5:00 PM

Registration

7:00 AM

Breakfast Meetings (Continental Breakfast Provided in Exhibit Hall)

8:00 AM

Welcome

Speakers:  Ed Fratto, Executive Director, Northeast States Emergency Consortium

Robin Friedman, Director, King County Office of Emergency Management

Ron Sims, King County Executive 

 

8:45 AM

PLENARY 7:  OVERVIEW OF RESILIENCY -- A Working Goal

This session will provide an overview of the latest in research and knowledge on community resiliency; showcasing the latest thinking on how to create a groundswell for change in communities, influencing policy makers, facilitating and activating change in local communities, regions, countries, and new approaches.

Moderator:  Maiclaire Bolton, Head, Seismic Program, British Columbia Provincial Emergency Program

Speakers:  David Maurstad, Assistant Administrator, Mitigation Division, DHS/FEMA

Kathleen Tierney, Director of Natural Hazards Center, University of Colorado Boulder

Richard K. Eisner, Government Liaison, BayPrep, Fritz Institute 

 

10:00 AM

Break -- 45 minutes

10:45 AM

PLENARY 8:  BUILDING COMMUNITY RESILIENCE -- Applications of Resiliency

This plenary highlights applied, on-the-ground initiatives that are succeeding in making communities more disaster-resilient.  Initiatives to be covered range from business preparedness and recovery, to downtown and neighborhood retrofit programs, to a statewide partnership for pre-disaster mitigation.

Moderator:  Diana McClure, Vice President and Director of Business Protection, Institute for Business and Home Safety

Speakers:  LuAn Johnson, Public Education Program Manager, Washington Military Department, Emergency Management Division (11 MB)

William Matthews, Former Manager, Resilient Communities Disaster Preparedness Project, Canadian Red Cross (Western Canada)

Krista Dillon, Associate Director, Oregon Partnership for Disaster Resilience, University of Oregon 

 

12:00 PM

Lunch:  An open discussion of the future directions and setting the stage for the New Madrid National Earthquake Conference in 2011 or 2012 through the use of hand-held polling devices.

Moderator:  Jim Wilkinson, Executive Director, Central US Earthquake Consortium 

 

1:30 PM

Concurrent Workshops:

 Session A

Establishing State Post-Earthquake Technical Clearinghouses

Many states have either not considered or not accomplished setting up a post-earthquake technical clearinghouse for the large influx of researchers who may visit their state after an earthquake.  As data is being collected, how is the data captured by the state?  The WSSPC model of how to establish a clearinghouse plan will be presented, followed by an example of an operational state plan and how the clearinghouse concept was adapted in Hurricane Katrina.

Moderator:  Doug Bausch, Physical Scientist, DHS/FEMA, Region VIII

Speakers:  William Lund, Senior Scientist, Utah Geological Survey

Craig dePolo, Research Geologist, Nevada Bureau of Mines & Geology

John Pine, Associate Professor of Research, Department of Environmental Studies, University of Louisiana

 

 

Session B

Public/Private Partnerships for Economic Resiliency

Communities cannot survive a disaster unless the economy survives.  Small to medium-sized businesses are the backbone of the American economy, but most do not plan for a major business interruption.  Two available models will illustrate how to motivate business owners to develop plans, to recognize that their recovery is tied to community-wide disaster resistance and resilience, and to institutionalize business continuity planning into their business practices.

Speakers:  Diana McClure, Vice President and Director of Business Protec